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Industry brief · Infrastructure

Infrastructure, where our guest treats sewage

One Building Real founder sells into India's infrastructure build-out. Tharun Kumar's EcoSTP builds decentralised sewage treatment systems that use bacteria, gravel and plants instead of motors or chemicals. This brief covers the market around him in India: what governments budget and actually spend, how cities finance projects, and how much of what gets built ends up running.

India
Checked 20 Oct 2026 · every figure linked to its source · next review Jan 2027

01At a glance

Rs 12.2 lakh crore

of public capital expenditure proposed in India's Union Budget 2026-27, up from Rs 11.2 lakh crore budgeted for 2025-261

Budget estimates, not spending
Rs 1 lakh crore

Urban Challenge Fund approved by the Union Cabinet in February 2026; central assistance covers 25% of a project's cost, provided at least 50% is raised from markets such as municipal bonds, bank loans and PPPs2

Approved central assistance over FY2025-26 to FY2030-31, not money spent or released
Rs 3.03 lakh crore

approved by NaBFID, India's infrastructure development bank, by December 2025, and about Rs 1.09 lakh crore disbursed, according to PIB3

Approved is not disbursed
32%

of the total revenue of urban local bodies is covered, on average, by their own-source revenue, the Comptroller and Auditor General found, PRS notes4

CAG (2025), as cited by PRS
68%

Actual Jal Jeevan Mission spending, on India's rural tap-water programme, was 68% below budget in 2024-255

Actual expenditure, not an estimate
658 MLD

of the 6,815 MLD of sewage treatment capacity taken up under AMRUT 2.0 had been operationalised, against 5,396 of 6,299 MLD under the first AMRUT, according to a parliamentary committee review presented in August 20266

AMRUT 2.0 projects are newer, so part of the gap is timing

02How AI and digital tools are reshaping it

Digital planning at national scale

  • PM GatiShakti. PM GatiShakti's digital planning platform held over 23,493 data layers by October 2026 and covers 58 central ministries and departments and all 36 states and union territories7.
  • Project screening. By August 2026, PM GatiShakti's Network Planning Group had evaluated 396 infrastructure projects with a total estimated cost of about Rs 18.66 lakh crore8.
  • Smart Cities. All 100 Smart Cities have operational Integrated Command and Control Centres, and by May 2025 7,555 of the mission's 8,067 projects (94%), worth Rs 1,51,361 crore, were complete9.
GatiShakti is digital planning, not AI. Evaluated projects are not sanctioned or funded projects.

AI and digital twins in water, so far

  • Delhi. Delhi Jal Board signed a non-financial, non-binding memorandum of understanding with IIT Kanpur's Airawat Research Foundation in November 2025 to apply AI and digital twin technology to water management, including real-time monitoring of water and sewage treatment plants10.
  • Telecom. The Department of Telecommunications launched Sangam, a digital twin initiative, in February 2024 to demonstrate practical implementation of innovative infrastructure planning solutions using virtual replicas of physical assets11.
  • A startup. Watertech startup DigitalPaani raised Rs 22 crore in a round led by Navam Capital for its AI- and IoT-powered platform, which Inc42 reports serves more than 95 facilities across India, including sewage treatment plants, that together treat over 150 million litres of water a day12.
The Delhi agreement is a statement of intent, not a funded deployment. DigitalPaani's facility and volume figures are the company's own. We found no national data on AI use in Indian infrastructure.

03Where the money is moving

What the budget sets aside

  • Loans to states. The Union Budget 2026-27 has budgeted Rs 1,85,000 crore for special interest-free loans to states for capital expenditure; the revised estimate for 2025-26 is Rs 1,44,000 crore, against a budget allocation of Rs 1,50,000 crore13.
  • Urban ministry. The Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs was allocated Rs 85,522 crore for 2026-27, 50% higher than its revised estimate for 2025-2614.
  • Urban Challenge Fund. The Urban Challenge Fund is budgeted at Rs 10,000 crore for 2026-27, against Rs 1,000 crore at the revised estimate for 2025-2615.
  • AMRUT. AMRUT was allocated Rs 8,000 crore for 2026-27, 7% higher than the revised estimate for 2025-26, when spending under the mission was estimated to be lower by 25% at the revised estimate stage16.
These are budget estimates and revised estimates. A revised estimate is a mid-year estimate, not actual spending.

Budgeted versus spent in water and sanitation

  • Jal Jeevan Mission. Jal Jeevan Mission, the rural tap-water programme, was allocated Rs 67,670 crore for 2026-27, 1% more than its 2025-26 budget estimate; in 2025-26 the revised estimate for spending on the scheme (Rs 17,000 crore) was 75% less than the budget allocation (Rs 67,000 crore)17.
  • Swachh Bharat Mission (Grameen). Swachh Bharat Mission (Grameen) was allocated Rs 7,192 crore for 2026-27, and its actual spending has been below budget every year since 2018-1918.
The Jal Jeevan Mission shortfall for 2025-26 is a revised estimate. The Swachh Bharat (Grameen) record is actual spending, with 2025-26 at the revised estimate.

Who pays for city infrastructure

  • Governments. Central and state governments finance over 75% of Indian city infrastructure, and only 5% of cities' infrastructure needs are financed from private sources, according to the World Bank19.
  • Municipal bonds. Indian cities made nine municipal bond issues in 2025-26 up to December, against three the previous year and one the year before, Sebi data showed; total municipal bonds outstanding were Rs 3,783.9 crore at 31 December 202520.
  • Bonds over time. PIB's ten-year review of AMRUT says 13 urban local bodies had raised Rs 4,984 crore through municipal bonds for urban infrastructure21.
  • A bond incentive. The Budget 2026-27 speech proposed a Rs 100 crore incentive for a single municipal bond issue of more than Rs 1,000 crore, while the existing AMRUT scheme, which incentivises issues of up to Rs 200 crore, continues to support smaller and medium towns22.
The World Bank shares come from a 2022 report. The bond incentive is a budget-speech proposal.

Guarantees and private capital

  • Risk guarantees. The Budget 2026-27 speech proposes an Infrastructure Risk Guarantee Fund to give lenders partial credit guarantees, and dedicated REITs to recycle real estate assets of central public sector enterprises23.
  • City loans. Alongside the Urban Challenge Fund, the Cabinet approved a Rs 5,000 crore Credit Repayment Guarantee Scheme, which will provide a central guarantee of up to Rs 7 crore or 70% of the loan amount for cities in north-eastern and hilly states and for urban local bodies with populations under one lakh in other states24.
  • A seed round. Hyderabad's Megaliter Varunaa raised Rs 15 crore in seed capital in October 2025 for what it describes as a zero-capital-expenditure, subscription-based model to turn sewage treatment plants into circular water utilities25.
The guarantee fund and REITs are proposals; the speech gives no corpus. One startup round is an example, not a measure of market size.

How big the need is

  • Urban need. The World Bank estimated in 2022 that India would need to invest $840 billion in urban infrastructure over 15 years, an average of $55 billion a year26.
  • Cities to 2050. The World Bank estimated in 2025 that India's cities will need over $2.4 trillion by 2050 for new resilient, low-carbon infrastructure and services, with over half of the urban infrastructure needed by 2050 still to be built27.
  • Floods. The World Bank says annual pluvial flood-related losses in Indian cities that can be averted through timely adaptation can amount to $5 billion by 2030 and $30 billion by 207028.
These are separate World Bank estimates on different bases and should not be compared with each other or read as spending.

04Built versus running

Sewage treatment capacity, last national count

India's sewage treatment capacity (CPCB report, 2021, MLD)

Installed
31,841
Developed and operationalised
26,869
Actually utilised
20,235

A Central Pollution Control Board report released in 2021 found 31,841 MLD of installed sewage treatment capacity in India, of which 26,869 MLD had been developed and operationalised and 20,235 MLD was actually utilised29.

The latest national count we found. It is on a different basis from the AMRUT figures in At a glance, so the two should not be compared.

Paying for operation, not just construction

Namami Gange adopted the Hybrid Annuity Model for sewage treatment plants to ensure responsible operation and maintenance, with a 17-year lifecycle (two years of construction, 15 of O&M) that spreads capital spending over the operating period30.

PIB reported in January 2026 that sewage treatment capacity commissioned under the Namami Gange Programme had reached 3,976 MLD; recent projects at Shuklagunj and Agra were implemented under the Hybrid Annuity Model31.

The model's purpose is as the ministry states it, not a measured outcome.

What one state audit found

  • Compliance. In eight test-checked Haryana districts, CAG found 26 sewage treatment plants and two common effluent treatment plants not complying with the state pollution control board's discharge standards for BOD and faecal coliform32.
  • Tendering. A CAG audit of Haryana found that tenders for a 25 MLD sewage treatment plant for Naharpur-Kasan and Manesar in Gurugram district could not be finalised, statedly because of poor response and high rates offered by bidders, and the plant was completed in October 2025, more than two years late33.
  • Contract delivery. In Gurugram, a CAG audit found that one contractor had built only nine of the 21 micro sewage treatment plants it was contracted for, with one motor stolen and three plants working only in part, ThePrint reported in September 202634.
Individual cases from one state audit. CAG gives no total count of plants checked, so these are not rates.

05What governments are changing

  1. National Infrastructure Pipeline. The National Infrastructure Pipeline, set in April 2020, projected Rs 111 lakh crore of infrastructure investment over FY2020-25, with the Centre (39%) and states (40%) expected to have almost equal shares in implementing it and urban infrastructure accounting for 17%35. A projection whose period has ended, not achieved spending.
  2. AMRUT 2.0. AMRUT 2.0, approved in 2021 with an indicative outlay of Rs 2.77 lakh crore (central share Rs 76,760 crore), targeted full household sewerage or septage coverage in 500 cities and required cities above ten lakh people to implement 10% of project worth as PPPs36. The mission period has ended, and we found no extension.
  3. Budget speech. The Budget 2026-27 speech proposes an Infrastructure Risk Guarantee Fund to give lenders partial credit guarantees, and dedicated REITs to recycle real estate assets of central public sector enterprises23. These are proposals, not schemes in force.
  4. 16th Finance Commission. The 16th Finance Commission recommended Rs 4.4 lakh crore for rural and Rs 3.6 lakh crore for urban local bodies over 2026-31, with half of each basic grant tied to sanitation and solid waste management and/or water management37. These are recommendations; we found no confirmation that the government has accepted them.
  5. Urban Challenge Fund. Water and sanitation, including upgrades to water supply, sewerage and stormwater systems, is one of the Urban Challenge Fund's three verticals, and the government says the fund will lead to a total investment of Rs 4 lakh crore in the urban sector over the next five years38. The total investment is a government expectation, not committed money.

06Trends to watch

07The problems our guests are solving

The dirtiest problem no one wanted to solve
India

EP01Tharun Kumar · EcoSTP

The dirtiest problem no one wanted to solve

Rs 67,607.67 crore

worth of sewerage and septage management projects, 592 in all, including O&M cost, and 6,739 MLD of sewage treatment plant capacity had been approved under AMRUT 2.0, PIB reported in June 202539

Rs 56,100 crore

over five years in grants tied to developing comprehensive wastewater management systems in cities with populations of 10-40 lakh as per the 2011 census, recommended by the 16th Finance Commission40

Tharun Kumar says he started after his apartment's sewage plant overflowed into a lake, then spent four years learning why, in his view, conventional aerobic plants keep failing. In the episode he explains how EcoSTP's decentralised systems mimic a cow's four-chambered stomach, using anaerobic bacteria, gravel and plants instead of motors, blowers or chemicals.

National approvals and recommendations, not EcoSTP contracts. Approved projects are not completed plants, and the grants are recommendations.
Watch the episode →

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08Sources

One research agent gathered 44 figures from government, regulator and established data sources. A separate red-team agent then reopened every source, checked each number, its scope and its date, and looked for newer or conflicting data. It kept 17 figures as written, corrected 26 and cut 1. Each figure above links to its source below, with the date it refers to.

  1. PIB (Ministry of Finance), 1 Feb 2026 · Budget estimates: 2026-27 BE vs 2025-26 BE (announced 1 Feb 2026)
  2. PM India (PIB), 14 Feb 2026 · Approved 13 Feb 2026; fund period FY2025-26 to FY2030-31
  3. PIB backgrounder, 18 Mar 2026 · As of Dec 2025
  4. PRS Legislative Research (citing CAG 2025), DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Housing and Urban Affairs, Feb-Mar 2026 · CAG (2025), as cited by PRS
  5. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Jal Shakti, Feb-Mar 2026 · FY2024-25 actuals
  6. PRS Legislative Research (Standing Committee on Housing and Urban Affairs), Aug 2026 · Standing Committee report presented 4 Aug 2026
  7. PIB backgrounder, 12 Oct 2026 · As of 12 Oct 2026
  8. PIB backgrounder, 12 Oct 2026 · As of 11 Aug 2026
  9. PIB backgrounder, 24 Jun 2025 · As of 9 May 2025
  10. PTI via The Week, 12 Nov 2025 · MoU, Nov 2025
  11. PIB (DoT), 15 Feb 2024 · Launched Feb 2024
  12. Inc42, 8 Sep 2026 · Sep 2026 (company figures as reported)
  13. PRS Legislative Research, Union Budget 2026-27 Analysis, 1 Feb 2026 · 2026-27 BE; 2025-26 RE vs BE
  14. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Housing and Urban Affairs, Feb-Mar 2026 · 2026-27 BE vs 2025-26 RE
  15. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Housing and Urban Affairs (Table 2), Feb-Mar 2026 · 2026-27 BE vs 2025-26 RE
  16. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Housing and Urban Affairs, Feb-Mar 2026 · 2026-27 BE; 2025-26 RE (an estimate, not actual spending)
  17. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Jal Shakti, Feb-Mar 2026 · 2026-27 BE; 2025-26 BE and RE
  18. PRS Legislative Research, DFG 2026-27 Analysis: Jal Shakti, Feb-Mar 2026 · 2026-27 BE; actuals since 2018-19 (2025-26 at RE)
  19. World Bank, 14 Nov 2022 · World Bank, 2022 report
  20. Business Standard (Sebi data), 11 Jan 2026 · FY2025-26 to December 2025; outstanding at 31 Dec 2025
  21. PIB, '10 Years of AMRUT', 25 Jun 2025 · Cumulative, as reported 25 Jun 2025
  22. Budget Speech 2026-27 (PIB), para 46, 1 Feb 2026 · Budget speech proposal, 1 Feb 2026
  23. Budget Speech 2026-27 (PIB), paras 34-35, 1 Feb 2026 · Budget speech proposal, 1 Feb 2026
  24. PM India (PIB), 14 Feb 2026 · Approved Feb 2026
  25. Entrepreneur India, 23 Oct 2025 · Oct 2025
  26. World Bank, 14 Nov 2022 · 2022 estimate, 15 years ahead
  27. World Bank, 22 Jul 2025 · Estimate to 2050, Jul 2025
  28. World Bank, 22 Jul 2025 · Projections for 2030 and 2070, Jul 2025
  29. CPCB via Down To Earth, 22 Sep 2021 · CPCB report, 2021
  30. PIB (Jal Shakti), 7 Mar 2025 · Programme design, as described Mar 2025
  31. PIB (Jal Shakti), 9 Jan 2026 · As reported 9 Jan 2026 (projects operationalised Q3 FY2025-26)
  32. CAG, Haryana Composite Audit Report (Civil), Chapter 3, 2026 · CAG audit covering 2019-20 to 2023-24 (sampling 2024)
  33. CAG, Haryana Composite Audit Report (Civil), Chapter 3, 2026 · CAG audit covering 2019-20 to 2023-24; completion Oct 2025
  34. ThePrint (reporting CAG), 3 Sep 2026 · CAG Composite Audit Report (Civil), Haryana, Report No. 4 of 2026 (year ended Mar 2024)
  35. PIB (Ministry of Finance), 29 Apr 2020 · 2020 projection for FY2020-25 (not achieved spend)
  36. PIB, 12 Oct 2021 · Approved Oct 2021 for FY2021-22 to FY2025-26
  37. PRS Legislative Research (16th Finance Commission report summary), Feb 2026 · Recommendation for FY2026-27 to FY2030-31, tabled 1 Feb 2026
  38. PM India (PIB), 14 Feb 2026 · Government expectation, Feb 2026
  39. PIB, '10 Years of AMRUT', 25 Jun 2025 · As reported 25 Jun 2025 (no 'as on' date given)
  40. PRS Legislative Research (16th Finance Commission report summary), Feb 2026 · Recommendation for FY2026-27 to FY2030-31